Katerina Siniakova vs Daria Kasatkina Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does recent second serve performance compare between the players? Kasatkina has won 37.04% of points on her second serve recently, while Siniakova slightly edges her out with 38.95%. This statistic closely predicts match outcomes.
• In terms of returning second serves, Kasatkina captures 53.78% of points, surpassing Siniakova's 49.49%. This stat is highly indicative of favoring Kasatkina in their head-to-head matchup.
• For first serve returns, Kasatkina again leads with 35.37% versus Siniakova's 31.51%, highlighting a potential edge for Kasatkina.
• Under pressure, Siniakova saves 50% of breakpoints, slightly better than Kasatkina's 42.74%, an important aspect for live betting.
• Over the past year, who has won more matches? Siniakova leads with a 59.32% win rate compared to Kasatkina's 53.7%, providing an overall head-to-head perspective.
• On clay courts, both players perform best, with Kasatkina at 69% and Siniakova at 62% win rates, but this gives Kasatkina a slight surface advantage.
• At the main tour level over the past year, Siniakova has been more successful, winning 62.5% of her matches compared to Kasatkina's 54.55%.
• In direct head-to-head matches, Kasatkina dominates with 6 wins out of 7 matches, suggesting a historical advantage.
• When matches go to a deciding set in their head-to-head encounters, Kasatkina has won 3 out of 4, indicating a stronger performance in high-pressure scenarios.
• How does the level of competition compare? Kasatkina has played against opponents with an average rank of 66.17, facing stronger competition than Siniakova, whose opponents averaged a rank of 120.75.
• Regarding recent breakpoint conversion, Kasatkina has a higher success rate at 41.27%, compared to Siniakova's 37.5%—a critical indicator during crucial in-game moments.

Editorial Prediction (September 16, 2025, UTC):

Kasatkina shows a stronger recent performance in return games, which may give her the upper hand in this match. Her superior track record in head-to-head encounters, with a 6-1 advantage over Siniakova, further underscores her potential dominance in this rivalry.

Despite Siniakova's ability to save breakpoints and her higher recent match win percentage on the main tour, Kasatkina's consistent backdrop of success in their previous meetings suggests she possesses a psychological edge.

Given her more challenging schedule, performing better against top-ranked players, and overall historical success against Siniakova, Daria Kasatkina is the likely winner of the upcoming match.